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Red139
460734.5
331051.0
582739.6
Blue118
878811.8
363634.2
594054.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13498050150200139118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.4
54.755.2
Auto11.4
Teleop28.0
End11.7
blue by 3.3
54.31.1
53.254.4
Auto13.7
Teleop32.6
End7.9
Second
5827
#50
39.60.4
34.434.8
Auto11.0
Teleop22.7
End5.8
red by 5.4
3636
#56
34.21.1
33.334.5
Auto7.3
Teleop17.9
End8.9
Third
4607
#46
34.50.4
31.732.1
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End9.6
red by 22.7
8788
#75
11.81.1
10.311.4
Auto4.7
Teleop3.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned79%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
91%Hangar oddsEarned76%Hangar oddsEarned