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Red60
11517.0
607828.5
543716.1
Blue111
448142.5
581339.1
151125.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59120010015020060111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6078
#65
28.50.7
29.929.1
Auto6.5
Teleop9.5
End12.5
blue by 14.0
4481
#10
42.50.1
41.341.4
Auto11.4
Teleop24.7
End6.4
Second
115
#67
17.00.7
15.114.4
Auto8.2
Teleop5.2
End3.6
blue by 22.1
5813
#13
39.10.1
41.241.3
Auto9.0
Teleop18.3
End11.8
Third
5437
#54
16.10.7
17.917.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End5.4
blue by 9.3
1511
#66
25.50.1
22.822.9
Auto8.8
Teleop9.6
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsMissed99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsMissed83%Hangar oddsEarned