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Red149
170139.2
402044.4
353444.2
Blue91
247823.0
201632.9
459326.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142775010020014991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#44
44.41.6
45.547.1
Auto13.0
Teleop20.6
End10.8
red by 11.5
2016
#57
32.90.7
30.931.6
Auto6.8
Teleop13.7
End12.5
Second
3534
#35
44.21.6
42.744.3
Auto9.2
Teleop23.5
End11.5
red by 17.7
4593
#58
26.50.7
26.827.5
Auto5.2
Teleop14.0
End7.3
Third
1701
#43
39.21.6
36.638.2
Auto9.9
Teleop21.8
End7.5
red by 16.2
2478
#68
23.00.7
23.123.7
Auto5.8
Teleop11.8
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned63%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
90%Hangar oddsEarned94%Hangar oddsMissed