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Red103
632846.5
591336.5
192322.3
Blue123
740750.3
680048.6
445140.7
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102172050150200250103123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#22
46.50.4
42.241.8
Auto13.3
Teleop22.4
End10.9
blue by 3.7
7407
#25
50.32.0
52.250.2
Auto14.5
Teleop23.2
End12.5
Second
5913
#41
36.50.4
36.235.8
Auto9.9
Teleop20.2
End6.4
blue by 12.1
6800
#29
48.62.0
57.155.1
Auto11.2
Teleop28.6
End8.8
Third
1923
#61
22.30.4
26.626.2
Auto7.7
Teleop10.6
End4.0
blue by 18.4
4451
#30
40.72.0
43.541.5
Auto12.3
Teleop17.3
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
91%Hangar oddsEarned98%Hangar oddsMissed