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Red18
286917.4
401316.2
878811.8
Blue97
318216.7
479536.6
745742.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301210501001502001897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2869
#55
17.41.4
15.814.4
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End7.1
blue by 24.9
7457
#36
42.30.3
47.847.5
Auto11.4
Teleop20.5
End10.5
Second
4013
#72
16.21.4
12.410.9
Auto3.2
Teleop11.2
End1.8
blue by 20.4
4795
#51
36.60.3
39.038.7
Auto10.9
Teleop20.1
End5.6
Third
8788
#75
11.81.4
11.410.0
Auto4.7
Teleop3.2
End3.9
blue by 4.9
3182
#34
16.70.3
15.214.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsMissed80%Hangar oddsEarned