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Red67
283433.8
151125.5
221217.8
Blue102
571242.9
885312.5
414339.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7110405015020067102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#39
33.80.3
31.731.5
Auto11.3
Teleop17.2
End5.3
blue by 9.0
5712
#15
42.90.3
42.142.4
Auto10.3
Teleop21.7
End10.9
Second
1511
#66
25.50.3
22.922.6
Auto8.8
Teleop9.6
End7.1
blue by 13.7
39.20.3
41.541.8
Auto8.3
Teleop18.7
End12.2
Third
2212
#70
17.80.3
16.416.1
Auto6.5
Teleop6.8
End4.5
red by 5.3
8853
#60
12.50.3
10.010.3
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned79%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsMissed93%Hangar oddsEarned