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Red141
4141.9
23045.7
362040.6
Blue103
83641.8
607828.5
741920.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14385050100200141103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#4
45.70.9
47.248.1
Auto12.8
Teleop19.2
End13.7
red by 3.8
836
#23
41.80.3
38.138.4
Auto14.4
Teleop18.9
End8.5
Second
41
#11
41.90.9
39.640.5
Auto7.9
Teleop26.1
End7.9
red by 13.4
6078
#65
28.50.3
29.129.4
Auto6.5
Teleop9.5
End12.5
Third
3620
#21
40.60.9
40.241.2
Auto9.3
Teleop20.5
End10.7
red by 20.4
7419
#71
20.20.3
19.920.1
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned89%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
95%Hangar oddsEarned96%Hangar oddsEarned