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Red109
219920.3
207543.3
198742.7
Blue72
448840.6
11517.0
121830.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121865010015020010972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.30.0
45.445.4
Auto14.4
Teleop23.3
End5.5
red by 2.7
4488
#24
40.60.9
42.341.4
Auto11.5
Teleop22.2
End6.9
Second
1987
#26
42.70.0
44.945.0
Auto12.7
Teleop22.7
End7.2
red by 12.1
1218
#20
30.60.9
28.827.9
Auto5.5
Teleop14.1
End11.0
Third
2199
#27
20.30.0
18.518.5
Auto5.6
Teleop6.0
End8.7
red by 3.3
115
#67
17.00.9
14.413.5
Auto8.2
Teleop5.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned87%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
72%Hangar oddsEarned58%Hangar oddsEarned