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Red52
445140.7
493019.7
318216.7
Blue93
23045.7
448840.6
543716.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711220501001502005293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#30
40.71.4
41.540.1
Auto12.3
Teleop17.3
End11.1
blue by 5.0
230
#4
45.71.3
48.146.9
Auto12.8
Teleop19.2
End13.7
Second
4930
#74
19.71.4
16.915.5
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End6.0
blue by 20.9
4488
#24
40.61.3
41.440.2
Auto11.5
Teleop22.2
End6.9
Third
3182
#34
16.71.4
14.813.4
Auto4.9
Teleop5.7
End6.2
red by 0.6
5437
#54
16.11.3
18.217.0
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
78%Cargo oddsMissed97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsMissed94%Hangar oddsEarned