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Red58
234129.0
129311.4
219920.3
Blue53
221217.8
286917.4
247823.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64572040801001205853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2341
#59
29.00.1
30.330.2
Auto6.0
Teleop13.5
End9.5
red by 6.0
2478
#68
23.00.1
23.723.6
Auto5.8
Teleop11.8
End5.4
Second
2199
#27
20.30.1
18.518.4
Auto5.6
Teleop6.0
End8.7
red by 2.5
2212
#70
17.80.1
16.116.0
Auto6.5
Teleop6.8
End4.5
Third
1293
#33
11.40.1
10.610.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.7
End4.9
blue by 6.0
2869
#55
17.40.1
14.414.3
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed62%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
91%Hangar oddsEarned47%Hangar oddsEarned