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Red101
83641.8
233836.7
146824.7
Blue89
253126.1
319736.3
493019.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1226805010015020010189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#23
41.80.7
39.138.4
Auto14.4
Teleop18.9
End8.5
red by 5.5
3197
#12
36.30.4
31.932.3
Auto7.9
Teleop18.5
End9.8
Second
2338
#32
36.70.7
40.039.3
Auto9.9
Teleop13.2
End13.6
red by 10.6
26.10.4
23.423.8
Auto7.8
Teleop6.8
End11.4
Third
1468
#52
24.70.7
28.327.6
Auto8.7
Teleop12.0
End4.0
red by 5.1
4930
#74
19.70.4
15.515.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned59%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
92%Hangar oddsEarned48%Hangar oddsEarned