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Red79
477513.6
460734.5
459326.5
Blue87
346737.5
190221.2
885312.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7662020401001201407987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#46
34.50.6
33.834.5
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End9.6
blue by 3.0
3467
#17
37.51.3
34.035.2
Auto6.4
Teleop17.7
End13.3
Second
4593
#58
26.50.6
25.325.9
Auto5.2
Teleop14.0
End7.3
red by 5.3
1902
#48
21.21.3
15.116.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End6.3
Third
4775
#62
13.60.6
10.611.2
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End2.4
red by 1.1
8853
#60
12.51.3
11.112.4
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo oddsEarned40%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsEarned76%Hangar oddsEarned