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Red130
493019.7
17654.4
283433.8
Blue114
207543.3
479536.6
363634.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109132406080100120140160180200130114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#2
54.41.7
57.659.3
Auto15.0
Teleop26.9
End12.6
red by 11.2
43.31.0
46.545.5
Auto14.4
Teleop23.3
End5.5
Second
2834
#39
33.81.7
31.433.0
Auto11.3
Teleop17.2
End5.3
blue by 2.8
4795
#51
36.61.0
39.738.7
Auto10.9
Teleop20.1
End5.6
Third
4930
#74
19.71.7
15.917.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End6.0
blue by 14.5
3636
#56
34.21.0
34.633.6
Auto7.3
Teleop17.9
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
53%Hangar oddsEarned65%Hangar oddsEarned