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Red159
594054.3
83641.8
581339.1
Blue72
221217.8
192322.3
193933.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154675010020015972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.30.9
53.454.3
Auto13.7
Teleop32.6
End7.9
red by 21.2
1939
#16
33.10.4
31.731.3
Auto7.7
Teleop14.3
End11.1
Second
836
#23
41.80.9
38.439.3
Auto14.4
Teleop18.9
End8.5
red by 19.5
1923
#61
22.30.4
26.025.6
Auto7.7
Teleop10.6
End4.0
Third
5813
#13
39.10.9
41.542.5
Auto9.0
Teleop18.3
End11.8
red by 21.3
2212
#70
17.80.4
16.115.7
Auto6.5
Teleop6.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned60%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned87%Hangar oddsMissed