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Red58
66932.2
402041.4
15392.9
Blue12
45337.8
39763.8
61674.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412702060801001205812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.42.4
22.424.8
Auto12.2
Teleop16.4
End12.8
red by 33.6
4533
#28
7.81.7
10.38.6
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End4.6
Second
1539
#35
2.92.4
8.210.6
Auto2.5
Teleop-0.7
End1.2
blue by 1.9
6167
#31
4.81.7
6.64.9
Auto3.1
Teleop0.4
End1.3
Third
6693
#38
2.22.4
5.78.1
Auto2.0
Teleop-0.9
End1.1
blue by 1.6
3976
#32
3.81.7
10.38.6
Auto2.4
Teleop1.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed