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Red38
75255.1
349015.9
34323.3
Blue30
348922.1
146611.3
175812.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3432010204050603830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#11Sur
23.30.7
11.712.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.6
End7.4
red by 1.1
3489
#12Sur
22.10.0
10.510.5
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End6.1
Second
15.90.7
11.412.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End5.5
red by 3.4
1758
#20
12.60.0
7.97.9
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End1.6
Third
7525
#37
5.10.7
8.39.0
Auto3.2
Teleop0.5
End1.4
blue by 6.3
1466
#24
11.30.0
11.611.6
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsEarned15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed