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Red8
47487.9
175812.6
61674.8
Blue16
28111.8
63668.5
69617.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2934020406080100120816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1758
#20
12.62.2
10.78.5
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End1.6
red by 0.8
281
#18
11.82.1
11.99.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End3.7
Second
4748
#36
7.92.2
8.36.1
Auto4.1
Teleop3.0
End0.7
blue by 0.6
6366
#17
8.52.1
11.79.5
Auto3.2
Teleop-1.3
End6.6
Third
6167
#31
4.82.2
8.86.6
Auto3.1
Teleop0.4
End1.3
blue by 2.4
6961
#19
7.22.1
7.65.5
Auto4.0
Teleop1.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed