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Red30
48238.7
458210.7
239323.3
Blue20
15392.9
857517.5
40739.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322801020405060703020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.1
12.712.8
Auto5.6
Teleop6.8
End11.0
red by 5.8
8575
#10
17.517.2
24.17.0
Auto5.6
Teleop9.7
End2.3
Second
4582
#25
10.70.1
8.88.8
Auto5.7
Teleop3.6
End1.3
red by 1.0
4073
#21
9.61.2
8.77.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End2.1
Third
4823
#14
8.70.1
7.87.9
Auto1.0
Teleop3.3
End4.4
red by 5.8
1539
#35
2.91.2
9.88.6
Auto2.5
Teleop-0.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed