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Red33
66932.2
146611.3
63668.5
Blue70
349015.9
426534.4
20806.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1761040801003370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
#24
11.30.6
11.912.6
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End4.8
blue by 23.0
34.41.4
31.733.1
Auto10.1
Teleop21.7
End2.5
Second
6366
#17
8.50.7
7.98.6
Auto3.2
Teleop-1.3
End6.6
blue by 7.4
15.91.3
15.917.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End5.5
Third
6693
#38
2.20.6
2.02.6
Auto2.0
Teleop-0.9
End1.1
blue by 4.1
2080
#26
6.31.4
3.85.2
Auto3.6
Teleop1.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed57%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsMissed