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Red41
239323.3
47487.9
39763.8
Blue30
458210.7
45337.8
281517.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334101020506070804130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.5
21.421.9
Auto5.6
Teleop6.8
End11.0
red by 5.6
17.70.7
17.717.0
Auto4.9
Teleop5.2
End7.6
Second
4748
#36
7.90.5
7.17.6
Auto4.1
Teleop3.0
End0.7
blue by 2.8
4582
#25
10.70.7
11.811.1
Auto5.7
Teleop3.6
End1.3
Third
3976
#32
3.80.5
3.23.7
Auto2.4
Teleop1.0
End0.3
blue by 4.0
4533
#28
7.80.7
8.37.6
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed