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Red32
382411.5
407412.6
12934.8
Blue32
61674.8
348922.1
110217.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26510204060801003232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4074
#16
12.6
Auto4.7
Teleop2.5
End5.4
blue by 9.5
3489
#12
22.1
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End6.1
Second
3824
#22
11.5
Auto3.4
Teleop3.3
End4.9
blue by 6.1
1102
#15
17.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.6
End5.9
Third
1293
#29
4.8
Auto2.4
Teleop0.1
End2.3
Level
6167
#31
4.8
Auto3.1
Teleop0.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsMissed35%Hangar oddsEarned