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Red52
110230.8
493511.2
99951.3
Blue28
45336.4
281511.5
348921.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484301020306070805228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.6
28.128.7
Auto7.6
Teleop13.1
End10.2
red by 9.3
21.41.2
21.720.5
Auto6.4
Teleop10.2
End4.9
Second
4935
#17
11.20.6
11.211.8
Auto4.6
Teleop2.5
End4.1
blue by 0.3
2815
#18
11.51.2
12.711.5
Auto2.5
Teleop2.5
End6.5
Third
9995
#16
1.31.0
-0.90.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop0.8
End0.9
blue by 5.1
4533
#12
6.41.2
7.46.3
Auto2.5
Teleop-0.6
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsEarned23%Hangar oddsEarned