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Red56
34213.8
177146.7
99993.2
Blue48
636620.3
999610.1
429014.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625002040801001205648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.70.4
45.144.7
Auto14.1
Teleop29.9
End2.8
red by 26.4
20.30.3
19.219.4
Auto6.4
Teleop5.0
End9.0
Second
342
#7
13.80.4
13.713.2
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End6.8
blue by 0.5
4290
#10
14.30.3
13.513.7
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End2.3
Third
9999
#14
3.20.7
3.93.2
Auto3.3
Teleop0.3
End-0.6
blue by 6.9
9996
#13
10.10.4
7.57.9
Auto2.3
Teleop5.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
53%Cargo oddsEarned30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsEarned