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Red71
802016.0
763220.4
85859.2
Blue48
880712.1
608312.8
879010.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403210205060707148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.42.3
14.817.1
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End2.6
red by 7.6
6083
#28
12.81.7
11.513.3
Auto5.6
Teleop4.7
End2.5
Second
16.02.3
16.218.5
Auto4.2
Teleop3.1
End8.7
red by 3.9
8807
#13
12.11.7
11.913.7
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End3.5
Third
8585
#15
9.22.3
5.98.2
Auto4.4
Teleop2.7
End2.0
blue by 1.7
8790
#17
10.91.7
7.79.5
Auto5.1
Teleop2.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsEarned25%Hangar oddsMissed