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Red39
713010.5
856910.7
694711.9
Blue53
749716.2
752613.4
816913.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32391020506070803953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6947
#18
11.90.8
11.712.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End4.3
blue by 4.4
16.21.4
13.214.6
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End5.1
Second
8569
#29
10.70.8
10.311.1
Auto4.3
Teleop2.9
End3.6
blue by 2.9
8169
#14
13.61.4
12.413.7
Auto5.4
Teleop5.1
End3.0
Third
7130
#19
10.50.8
9.210.0
Auto2.7
Teleop0.9
End7.0
blue by 2.9
7526
#16
13.41.4
10.311.7
Auto3.7
Teleop6.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned16%Hangar oddsMissed