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Red74
174722.6
453311.3
402044.3
Blue103
348915.9
175818.4
225241.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646805010015074103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#11
44.30.4
39.439.8
Auto14.5
Teleop20.1
End9.7
red by 2.8
2252
#13
41.52.6
30.433.1
Auto14.6
Teleop19.0
End7.9
Second
22.60.4
13.814.2
Auto4.8
Teleop8.4
End9.4
red by 4.2
1758
#29
18.42.6
10.613.3
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End2.7
Third
4533
#35
11.30.4
7.47.8
Auto4.5
Teleop1.1
End5.7
blue by 4.6
3489
#42
15.92.6
22.224.8
Auto5.7
Teleop6.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsMissed50%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsEarned57%Hangar oddsEarned