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Red22
450412.4
630214.7
382111.5
Blue33
446218.9
39847.6
314014.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323110204050602233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6302
#39
14.70.8
11.110.3
Auto2.8
Teleop8.8
End3.0
blue by 4.2
4462
#22
18.90.4
10.110.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.0
End5.5
Second
4504
#38
12.40.8
8.67.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End3.6
blue by 1.7
3140
#32
14.20.2
11.211.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.7
End2.5
Third
3821
#19
11.50.8
9.88.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.5
End4.2
red by 3.9
3984
#37
7.60.4
8.38.7
Auto4.9
Teleop1.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed