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Red124
18046.7
261442.2
857522.4
Blue39
50056.2
415028.5
146610.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1073305015020012439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#2
46.72.5
41.043.5
Auto10.9
Teleop28.1
End7.7
red by 18.2
4150
#12
28.50.1
23.023.0
Auto7.1
Teleop8.2
End13.2
Second
42.22.2
29.631.9
Auto10.7
Teleop20.2
End11.3
red by 32.2
1466
#28
10.10.1
9.49.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.8
End2.7
Third
8575
#18
22.42.2
19.922.1
Auto5.9
Teleop12.3
End4.2
red by 16.2
5005
#43
6.20.1
7.77.6
Auto2.3
Teleop2.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsEarned54%Hangar oddsMissed