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Red89
453311.3
446726.7
402840.9
Blue39
396615.0
651716.0
75166.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6434020801001201401608939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.92.5
29.732.2
Auto11.0
Teleop16.2
End13.7
red by 24.9
6517
#16
16.00.5
14.614.1
Auto5.6
Teleop7.5
End2.9
Second
26.72.2
18.420.6
Auto8.2
Teleop12.7
End5.9
red by 11.7
3966
#24
15.00.5
13.813.3
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End3.2
Third
4533
#35
11.32.2
7.810.0
Auto4.5
Teleop1.1
End5.7
red by 5.2
7516
#40
6.10.5
7.16.6
Auto3.2
Teleop0.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsEarned27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsEarned23%Hangar oddsMissed