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Red33
549220.9
463013.4
446218.9
Blue105
6320.6
239333.2
445141.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3390020608010012014016033105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5492
#17
20.90.3
19.919.6
Auto5.6
Teleop4.6
End10.8
blue by 20.5
41.41.8
31.633.4
Auto10.0
Teleop18.2
End13.2
Second
4462
#22
18.90.6
10.910.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.0
End5.5
blue by 14.3
2393
#14
33.21.8
27.529.3
Auto10.0
Teleop13.0
End10.1
Third
4630
#30
13.40.6
7.36.8
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End3.1
blue by 7.1
63
#26
20.61.8
18.320.2
Auto6.4
Teleop4.5
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed66%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
53%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsEarned