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Red89
402044.3
574410.6
105131.0
Blue85
430610.0
225241.5
174722.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions866520401001201401608985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#11
44.30.8
42.243.0
Auto14.5
Teleop20.1
End9.7
red by 2.8
2252
#13
41.51.1
35.536.7
Auto14.6
Teleop19.0
End7.9
Second
31.00.8
25.226.0
Auto8.6
Teleop10.6
End11.9
red by 8.4
22.61.1
15.716.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.4
End9.4
Third
5744
#20
10.61.3
10.211.5
Auto3.5
Teleop4.8
End2.4
red by 0.7
4306
#36
10.01.9
12.714.6
Auto3.6
Teleop2.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
50%Cargo oddsEarned59%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsEarned58%Hangar oddsEarned