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Red64
314014.2
75258.8
34330.3
Blue56
415028.5
382413.6
175818.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475702040801001201406456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#5
30.31.2
28.830.0
Auto7.5
Teleop13.9
End8.9
red by 1.8
4150
#12
28.50.0
23.923.9
Auto7.1
Teleop8.2
End13.2
Second
3140
#32
14.21.2
10.411.6
Auto5.0
Teleop6.7
End2.5
blue by 4.2
1758
#29
18.40.0
13.613.6
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End2.7
Third
7525
#23
8.81.2
6.37.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.4
End3.7
blue by 4.8
3824
#41
13.60.0
14.514.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsEarned40%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed46%Hangar oddsEarned