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Red29
349216.1
348915.9
50056.2
Blue42
405022.3
39847.6
457627.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505030354045552942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3492
#31
16.12.0
14.712.7
Auto6.7
Teleop5.4
End4.0
blue by 10.9
4576
#15
27.00.3
19.919.6
Auto6.6
Teleop11.9
End8.6
Second
3489
#42
15.91.2
24.723.5
Auto5.7
Teleop6.8
End3.4
blue by 6.3
22.30.3
20.320.0
Auto7.6
Teleop8.3
End6.3
Third
5005
#43
6.22.0
7.65.6
Auto2.3
Teleop2.9
End1.0
blue by 1.4
3984
#37
7.60.5
6.45.9
Auto4.9
Teleop1.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsEarned