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Qual 312022 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red77
278321.5
396615.0
402840.9
Blue49
445141.4
146610.1
382111.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75522040601001201407749

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#4
40.90.4
33.1→33.5
Auto11.0
Teleop16.2
End13.7
blue by 0.5
4451
#3
41.40.2
33.4→33.3
Auto10.0
Teleop18.2
End13.2
Second
2783
#10
21.50.4
20.8→21.1
Auto4.7
Teleop11.8
End5.0
red by 10.1
3821
#19
11.50.3
8.3→8.0
Auto3.7
Teleop3.5
End4.2
Third
3966
#24
15.00.6
13.4→14.0
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End3.2
red by 4.9
1466
#28
10.10.2
9.9→9.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
67%Cargo oddsEarned40%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
75%Hangar oddsEarned51%Hangar oddsMissed