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Red122
446726.7
18046.7
446218.9
Blue77
500217.1
225241.5
463013.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83580204010012014016012277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#2
46.72.9
44.147.0
Auto10.9
Teleop28.1
End7.7
red by 5.1
2252
#13
41.51.3
36.738.0
Auto14.6
Teleop19.0
End7.9
Second
26.72.9
20.423.3
Auto8.2
Teleop12.7
End5.9
red by 9.6
5002
#27
17.12.2
14.116.3
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End9.6
Third
4462
#22
18.94.8
10.315.1
Auto5.4
Teleop8.0
End5.5
red by 5.4
4630
#30
13.42.2
6.88.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
64%Cargo oddsEarned47%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
73%Hangar oddsEarned62%Hangar oddsMissed