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Red89
105131.0
174722.6
415028.5
Blue70
426536.2
450412.4
453311.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75602040801001208970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.01.4
26.728.1
Auto8.6
Teleop10.6
End11.9
blue by 5.2
4265
#21
36.20.5
34.635.1
Auto11.3
Teleop23.9
End1.0
Second
4150
#12
28.51.4
23.925.3
Auto7.1
Teleop8.2
End13.2
red by 16.0
4504
#38
12.40.9
12.613.5
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End3.6
Third
22.61.4
17.518.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.4
End9.4
red by 11.3
4533
#35
11.30.5
10.711.3
Auto4.5
Teleop1.1
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo oddsEarned57%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
90%Hangar oddsEarned8%Hangar oddsMissed