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Red61
175818.4
396615.0
314014.2
Blue27
430610.0
463013.4
382413.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434202060801006127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1758
#29
18.41.4
14.115.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End2.7
red by 4.8
3824
#41
13.60.8
15.214.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End3.6
Second
3966
#24
15.02.3
14.016.3
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End3.2
red by 1.5
4630
#30
13.41.4
8.97.5
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End3.1
Third
3140
#32
14.21.4
12.313.6
Auto5.0
Teleop6.7
End2.5
red by 4.2
4306
#36
10.01.4
15.514.1
Auto3.6
Teleop2.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsEarned27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsMissed