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Red74
630214.7
751514.9
402840.9
Blue72
857522.4
405022.3
549220.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59692040801001207472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.91.2
33.534.7
Auto11.0
Teleop16.2
End13.7
red by 18.5
8575
#18
22.40.3
22.923.2
Auto5.9
Teleop12.3
End4.2
Second
7515
#25
14.91.2
14.315.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End3.8
blue by 7.3
22.30.3
20.020.3
Auto7.6
Teleop8.3
End6.3
Third
6302
#39
14.71.9
8.810.7
Auto2.8
Teleop8.8
End3.0
blue by 6.2
5492
#17
20.90.3
20.220.6
Auto5.6
Teleop4.6
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsEarned64%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
79%Hangar oddsEarned64%Hangar oddsEarned