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Red53
74069.6
225241.5
751514.9
Blue88
382111.5
402840.9
857522.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70720204060801001201401605388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2252
#13
41.50.8
39.738.8
Auto14.6
Teleop19.0
End7.9
red by 0.6
40.91.4
34.736.0
Auto11.0
Teleop16.2
End13.7
Second
7515
#25
14.90.8
15.414.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End3.8
blue by 7.5
8575
#18
22.41.4
23.224.6
Auto5.9
Teleop12.3
End4.2
Third
7406
#34
9.61.4
10.69.2
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End0.9
blue by 1.9
3821
#19
11.52.3
9.611.8
Auto3.7
Teleop3.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
56%Cargo oddsEarned67%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
79%Hangar oddsMissed55%Hangar oddsEarned