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Red78
261442.2
175818.4
453311.3
Blue61
446726.7
549220.9
349216.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68602040801001201407861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.21.0
36.337.3
Auto10.7
Teleop20.2
End11.3
red by 15.5
26.70.3
24.624.9
Auto8.2
Teleop12.7
End5.9
Second
1758
#29
18.41.0
15.516.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End2.7
blue by 2.5
5492
#17
20.90.3
20.620.8
Auto5.6
Teleop4.6
End10.8
Third
4533
#35
11.31.0
11.312.3
Auto4.5
Teleop1.1
End5.7
blue by 4.8
3492
#31
16.10.4
12.012.4
Auto6.7
Teleop5.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
57%Cargo oddsMissed46%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsEarned79%Hangar oddsEarned