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Red18
87479.6
808421.6
879813.6
Blue19
81587.7
809210.9
767215.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312701020405060701819

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.61.6
12.210.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End10.5
red by 6.6
15.00.7
8.07.3
Auto4.5
Teleop-0.0
End10.6
Second
8798
#28
13.67.1
13.66.5
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End4.9
red by 2.7
10.90.7
9.48.7
Auto1.9
Teleop3.4
End5.6
Third
8747
#22
9.63.1
9.66.5
Auto3.8
Teleop3.1
End2.7
red by 2.0
8158
#29DQ
7.70.7
8.17.4
Auto1.9
Teleop2.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed