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Red43
698522.5
729212.4
876211.5
Blue4
88593.2
69880.9
824010.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31230104050607080434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.51.6
10.712.3
Auto6.0
Teleop5.1
End11.4
red by 11.9
8240
#19DQ
10.62.5
7.95.4
Auto4.3
Teleop2.2
End4.1
Second
7292
#11
12.41.6
9.611.2
Auto4.4
Teleop0.4
End7.5
red by 9.1
8859
#41
3.22.4
3.25.7
Auto1.2
Teleop1.8
End0.3
Third
8762
#17
11.51.7
11.59.8
Auto3.8
Teleop3.7
End4.0
red by 10.5
6988
#43
0.91.7
6.34.7
Auto1.5
Teleop0.5
End-1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsEarned16%Hangar oddsMissed