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Red44
87966.4
683832.5
77296.4
Blue14
805411.3
775811.2
75759.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51270204060801004414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.7
30.129.5
Auto9.3
Teleop20.2
End3.0
red by 21.2
8054
#18
11.31.1
9.18.0
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End4.4
Second
8796
#27
6.40.7
6.47.2
Auto1.4
Teleop1.7
End3.3
blue by 4.7
7758
#12
11.21.6
9.98.3
Auto3.0
Teleop1.8
End6.3
Third
7729
#23
6.41.0
6.65.6
Auto2.7
Teleop2.4
End1.2
blue by 2.9
7575
#20
9.21.6
9.57.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
48%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed