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Red24
87850.5
722810.9
745811.6
Blue35
80347.1
698910.0
744415.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2731010204050602435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7458
#19
11.60.2
11.010.7
Auto4.7
Teleop2.6
End4.3
blue by 3.8
7444
#11
15.50.3
10.510.8
Auto4.6
Teleop3.1
End7.8
Second
7228
#10
10.90.2
8.68.4
Auto3.3
Teleop2.3
End5.3
red by 0.9
6989
#13
10.00.3
12.612.9
Auto2.3
Teleop3.5
End4.2
Third
8785
#30DQ
0.50.2
6.46.2
Auto1.1
Teleop-0.4
End-0.2
blue by 6.6
8034
#17
7.10.3
5.45.6
Auto2.3
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsEarned21%Hangar oddsMissed