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Red49
826411.2
683830.1
60255.9
Blue50
728531.7
643620.8
64292.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30450102040506070804950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.11.6
15.517.1
Auto8.6
Teleop20.0
End1.5
blue by 1.6
7285
#2Sur
31.71.1
17.218.2
Auto12.6
Teleop12.6
End6.5
Second
8264
#16
11.21.6
6.27.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End3.7
blue by 9.6
20.81.1
13.814.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End11.5
Third
6025
#31
5.91.6
8.710.3
Auto1.1
Teleop1.9
End2.9
red by 3.1
6429
#27
2.81.1
9.410.5
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsEarned