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Red31
81593.5
855512.7
722810.9
Blue30
694819.2
497210.8
754412.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233701030506070803130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.70.4
11.411.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End4.2
blue by 6.4
19.20.3
10.410.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End9.4
Second
7228
#10
10.90.4
7.88.2
Auto3.3
Teleop2.3
End5.3
blue by 1.7
12.60.3
10.910.5
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End4.5
Third
8159
#23
3.50.4
4.24.6
Auto2.0
Teleop1.5
End0.1
blue by 7.2
4972
#24
10.80.3
11.811.5
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsEarned16%Hangar oddsMissed