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Red51
728531.7
698910.0
81668.1
Blue33
85995.5
744415.5
69886.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44300102040506070805133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.70.8
20.521.3
Auto12.6
Teleop12.6
End6.5
red by 16.2
7444
#11
15.50.3
15.816.1
Auto4.6
Teleop3.1
End7.8
Second
6989
#13
10.00.8
13.414.2
Auto2.3
Teleop3.5
End4.2
red by 3.7
6988
#26
6.30.3
9.59.8
Auto2.6
Teleop2.5
End1.1
Third
8166
#15
8.10.8
5.96.7
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End1.1
red by 2.7
8599
#12
5.50.3
4.85.1
Auto3.5
Teleop0.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed