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Red39
497210.8
85578.2
643620.8
Blue17
81593.5
87850.5
826411.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41150102030506070803917

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.4
16.817.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End11.5
red by 9.6
8264
#16
11.20.1
8.58.4
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End3.7
Second
4972
#24
10.80.4
11.511.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End3.3
red by 7.2
8159
#23DQ
3.50.1
4.64.6
Auto2.0
Teleop1.5
End0.1
Third
8557
#18
8.20.4
7.27.6
Auto1.8
Teleop2.9
End3.5
red by 7.7
8785
#30
0.50.1
4.44.3
Auto1.1
Teleop-0.4
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed