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Red33
69886.3
754412.6
722810.9
Blue49
88613.2
60148.1
728531.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303120253540453349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.60.5
10.511.0
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End4.5
blue by 19.1
31.71.8
21.323.1
Auto12.6
Teleop12.6
End6.5
Second
7228
#10
10.90.5
8.28.7
Auto3.3
Teleop2.3
End5.3
red by 2.8
6014
#21
8.11.8
3.95.7
Auto3.2
Teleop2.6
End2.3
Third
6988
#26
6.30.5
9.810.3
Auto2.6
Teleop2.5
End1.1
red by 3.2
8861
#22
3.21.8
3.85.6
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsEarned12%Hangar oddsMissed