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Red21
757014.2
81668.1
69886.3
Blue2
60255.9
80347.1
88613.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372206080212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.21.1
15.714.6
Auto4.2
Teleop8.2
End1.9
red by 7.1
8034
#17
7.11.8
10.08.2
Auto2.3
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Second
8166
#15
8.11.1
8.97.8
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End1.1
red by 2.2
6025
#31
5.92.0
7.05.0
Auto1.1
Teleop1.9
End2.9
Third
6988
#26
6.31.0
8.17.0
Auto2.6
Teleop2.5
End1.1
red by 3.2
8861
#22
3.21.8
5.33.5
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed6%Hangar oddsMissed